Forecasting, markets, podcasts, and other things I build on the side.
A forecasting aggregator for the IL-9 Democratic primary that synthesises prediction-market probabilities, polling averages, and FEC fundraising into a single daily estimate. Featured in Capitol Fax, the Evanston Roundtable, and the Daily Northwestern.
A politics-and-policy podcast I founded and host. Reaches listeners in 50+ countries; I produce, edit, and distribute every episode.
A Bayesian probability tooling project in progress: small, composable pieces for building and iterating on forecasting models. More to come.